Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 3 points for A.Murphy and 17 for Ajayi, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

A.Murphy vs Ajayi

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 14 projected points.

A.Murphy

NEWCASTLE · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Sell85%

COV (A)AVL (H)CRY (A)EVE (H)FUL (A)

Ajayi

HULL CITY · DEF · £4.2

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

EVE (H)FUL (A)BRE (H)IPS (H)ARS (A)

Stat by stat

£4.0Price£4.2

0Total points27

0.0Form2.3

0.0Points / game5.4

0.1%Owned14.0%

0Minutes423

0Goals1

0Assists0

0.00xG0.66

0.00xA0.01

0.0ICT14.1

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.2

3Projected pts17

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping A.Murphy.

Buy — Ajayi is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More DEF comparisons

A.Murphy vs Tarkowski A.Murphy vs Bogle A.Murphy vs De Cuyper A.Murphy vs Gvardiol A.Murphy vs Vuskovic A.Murphy vs Hall