Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 24 points for Haaland and 3 for Wilson, so Haaland is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Haaland vs Wilson

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Haaland by 21 projected points.

Haaland

Man City · FWD · £15.5

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

BOU (H)CRY (A)COV (H)MUN (A)SUN (H)

Wilson

Brentford · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

TOT (H)LEE (A)SUN (H)BOU (A)CHE (H)

Stat by stat

£15.5Price£5.5

2Total points1

2.0Form1.0

2.0Points / game1.0

69.2%Owned0.4%

90Minutes7

0Goals0

0Assists0

0.85xG0.03

0.02xA0.04

0.0ICT0.0

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.0

24Projected pts3

The verdict

Haaland comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (24 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and better current form.

Hold — Haaland is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Wilson.

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