Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 17 points for Justin and 20 for Davis, so Davis is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Justin vs Davis

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Davis by 3 projected points.

Justin

LEEDS · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

ARS (A)MUN (H)SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)

Davis

IPSWICH TOWN · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Buy85%

FUL (H)MCI (A)NFO (H)HUL (A)BOU (H)

Stat by stat

£4.5Price£4.0

26Total points25

5.0Form8.0

5.2Points / game5.0

1.4%Owned7.0%

450Minutes450

0Goals2

0Assists2

0.22xG1.59

0.42xA0.46

20.0ICT32.5

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.0

17Projected pts20

The verdict

Davis comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (20 vs 17), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Buy — Justin is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Davis is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

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