Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 17 points for Justin and 13 for Araujo, so Justin is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Justin vs Araujo

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Justin by 4 projected points.

Justin

LEEDS · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A)COV (H)

Araujo

LIVERPOOL · DEF · £5.4

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H)EVE (A)

Stat by stat

£4.5Price£5.4

34Total points33

2.7Form3.7

4.9Points / game4.1

2.2%Owned3.3%

618Minutes493

1Goals0

0Assists0

0.41xG0.02

0.51xA0.08

30.6ICT11.0

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.4

17Projected pts13

The verdict

Justin comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 13), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Justin is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Hold — Araujo is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

Justin vs De Cuyper Justin vs Gabriel Justin vs Vuskovic Justin vs Tarkowski Justin vs Calafiori Justin vs Bogle