Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 21 points for Bogle and 15 for Gvardiol, so Bogle is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Bogle vs Gvardiol

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Bogle by 6 projected points.

Bogle

LEEDS · DEF · £4.7

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A)COV (H)

Gvardiol

MAN CITY · DEF · £5.8

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

AVL (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H)ARS (A)

Stat by stat

£4.7Price£5.8

45Total points41

1.5Form2.0

6.4Points / game5.9

10.1%Owned28.3%

540Minutes487

2Goals1

0Assists4

1.53xG0.32

0.45xA0.88

39.3ICT28.8

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.2

21Projected pts15

The verdict

Bogle comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (21 vs 15), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and a stronger underlying profile.

Hold — Bogle is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Hold — Gvardiol is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

Bogle vs De Cuyper Bogle vs Vuskovic Bogle vs Tarkowski Bogle vs Calafiori Bogle vs Guéhi Bogle vs Gabriel