Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 22 points for Mateta and 3 for Wilson, so Mateta is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Mateta vs Wilson

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Mateta by 18 projected points.

Mateta

Crystal Palace · FWD · £6.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

EVE (A)MCI (H)FUL (A)IPS (H)LEE (A)

Wilson

Brentford · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell78%

TOT (H)LEE (A)SUN (H)BOU (A)CHE (H)

Stat by stat

£6.5Price£5.5

2Total points1

2.0Form1.0

2.0Points / game1.0

5.7%Owned0.4%

62Minutes7

0Goals0

0Assists0

0.70xG0.03

0.02xA0.04

0.0ICT0.0

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.0

22Projected pts3

The verdict

Mateta comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (22 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Buy — Mateta is one of the better FWD options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Wilson.

More FWD comparisons

Mateta vs Emersonn Mateta vs Barry Mateta vs Havertz Mateta vs Georginio Mateta vs McBurnie Mateta vs Evanilson