Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 33 points for Gvardiol and 36 for Ajayi, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Gvardiol vs Ajayi

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 3 projected points.

Gvardiol

Man City · DEF · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy85%

BOU (H)CRY (A)COV (H)MUN (A)SUN (H)

Ajayi

Hull City · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MUN (H)COV (A)AVL (H)CHE (A)NEW (A)

Stat by stat

£5.5Price£4.0

9Total points14

9.0Form14.0

9.0Points / game14.0

11.4%Owned1.3%

90Minutes63

1Goals1

0Assists0

0.19xG0.52

0.05xA0.00

0.0ICT0.0

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.2

33Projected pts36

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (36 vs 33), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — Gvardiol is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Hold — Ajayi is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

Gvardiol vs De Cuyper Gvardiol vs Mendy Gvardiol vs Kayode Gvardiol vs White Gvardiol vs Bijol Gvardiol vs Justin