Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 17 points for N.Williams and 21 for Bogle, so Bogle is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

N.Williams vs Bogle

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Bogle by 4 projected points.

N.Williams

NOTT'M FOREST · DEF · £5.0

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

IPS (A)BRE (A)MCI (H)BOU (A)CHE (H)

Bogle

LEEDS · DEF · £4.7

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A)COV (H)

Stat by stat

£5.0Price£4.7

31Total points45

4.0Form1.0

3.9Points / game6.4

6.2%Owned10.8%

713Minutes540

1Goals2

1Assists0

0.96xG1.53

1.09xA0.45

33.2ICT39.3

3.2Avg FDR (5)2.8

17Projected pts21

The verdict

Bogle comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (21 vs 17), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and a stronger underlying profile.

Buy — N.Williams is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Hold — Bogle is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

N.Williams vs De Cuyper N.Williams vs Vuskovic N.Williams vs Tarkowski N.Williams vs Calafiori N.Williams vs Gvardiol N.Williams vs Guéhi