Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 13 points for Araujo and 21 for Bogle, so Bogle is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Araujo vs Bogle

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Bogle by 8 projected points.

Araujo

LIVERPOOL · DEF · £5.4

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H)EVE (A)

Bogle

LEEDS · DEF · £4.7

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A)COV (H)

Stat by stat

£5.4Price£4.7

33Total points48

3.7Form2.0

4.1Points / game6.0

3.3%Owned11.0%

493Minutes585

0Goals2

0Assists0

0.02xG1.59

0.08xA0.54

11.0ICT39.3

3.4Avg FDR (5)2.8

13Projected pts21

The verdict

Bogle comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (21 vs 13), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 2.8) and a stronger underlying profile.

Hold — Araujo is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Buy — Bogle is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More DEF comparisons

Araujo vs De Cuyper Araujo vs Gabriel Araujo vs Vuskovic Araujo vs Tarkowski Araujo vs Calafiori Araujo vs White