Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 12 points for Awoniyi and 8 for Nmecha, so Awoniyi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Awoniyi vs Nmecha

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Awoniyi by 4 projected points.

Awoniyi

COVENTRY CITY · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MCI (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)NEW (H)TOT (A)

Nmecha

LEEDS · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

BHA (A)NEW (H)CRY (H)ARS (A)MUN (H)

Stat by stat

£5.5Price£5.5

4Total points4

1.3Form1.3

1.3Points / game4.0

0.7%Owned0.5%

160Minutes21

0Goals0

0Assists1

1.16xG0.10

0.03xA0.00

10.0ICT4.5

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.4

12Projected pts8

The verdict

Awoniyi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (12 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Hold — Awoniyi is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Nmecha.

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