Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 12 points for Awoniyi and 3 for Osula, so Awoniyi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Awoniyi vs Osula

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Awoniyi by 10 projected points.

Awoniyi

COVENTRY CITY · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MCI (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)NEW (H)TOT (A)

Osula

NEWCASTLE · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell94%

BOU (H)LEE (A)HUL (H)COV (A)AVL (H)

Stat by stat

£5.5Price£5.9

4Total points4

1.3Form1.3

1.3Points / game4.0

0.7%Owned0.5%

160Minutes55

0Goals0

0Assists1

1.16xG0.06

0.03xA0.14

10.0ICT5.0

3.0Avg FDR (5)2.6

12Projected pts3

The verdict

Awoniyi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (12 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Hold — Awoniyi is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Osula.

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