Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 10 points for Mings and 17 for Ajayi, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Mings vs Ajayi

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 7 projected points.

Mings

ASTON VILLA · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

BRE (H)NEW (A)MCI (H)FUL (H)MUN (A)

Ajayi

HULL CITY · DEF · £4.2

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

EVE (H)FUL (A)BRE (H)IPS (H)ARS (A)

Stat by stat

£4.5Price£4.2

10Total points27

2.2Form2.3

2.5Points / game5.4

0.4%Owned14.0%

261Minutes423

0Goals1

0Assists0

0.20xG0.66

0.02xA0.01

8.2ICT14.1

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.2

10Projected pts17

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 10), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Hold — Mings is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Buy — Ajayi is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More DEF comparisons

Mings vs Tarkowski Mings vs Bogle Mings vs De Cuyper Mings vs Gvardiol Mings vs Vuskovic Mings vs Hall