EVEMaitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
26
5.2 per game
Form
4.3
last 30 days
Owned
1.5%
xG / xA
0.06 / 0.74
season totals
ICT
16.5
308 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW7
CHE (H)
3 xP
GW8
ARS (A)
2 xP
GW9
NEW (A)
3 xP
GW10
COV (H)
4 xP
GW11
BRE (A)
3 xP
Maitland-Niles usually starts and faces a average run: CHE (H), ARS (A), NEW (A), COV (H), BRE (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | MUN (H) | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 7 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 6 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 8 |
| 6 | HUL (A) | 77 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.48 | 4 |
| 7 | CHE (H) | 54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Maitland-Niles's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.14 expected assists per 90, 62 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 40%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.4 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy71%
Confidence71%
Buy — Maitland-Niles is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 15 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
- Steady returns at 4.3 points per game in recent weeks.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs15
Captain rating21/100
Captain rating combines the GW7 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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