LIVIsak
Alexander Isak
Latest news: Thigh injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£9.1
0.0 this GW
Total pts
33
6.6 per game
Form
7.7
last 30 days
Owned
22.4%
xG / xA
3.54 / 0.08
season totals
ICT
40.0
413 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
MCI (H)
4 xP
GW7
BRE (A)
4 xP
GW8
BHA (H)
4 xP
GW9
ARS (H)
4 xP
GW10
CRY (A)
4 xP
Isak starts almost every week and faces a average run: MCI (H), BRE (A), BHA (H), ARS (H), CRY (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NEW (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.09 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 2 | NFO (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.99 | 0.00 | 8 |
| 3 | IPS (A) | 63 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.21 | 0.05 | 13 |
| 4 | FUL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 5 | BOU (A) | 80 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.75 | 0.02 | 8 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Isak's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.63 expected goals and 0.11 expected assists per 90, 83 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.4 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Isak is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £9.1 for the projected return.
- In form: 7.7 per game recently against a season average of 6.6.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs12
Next 5 GWs20
Captain rating35/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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