TOTGray
Archie Gray
Price
£4.9
0.0 this GW
Total pts
9
2.2 per game
Form
1.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.2%
xG / xA
0.23 / 0.05
season totals
ICT
7.0
307 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
MUN (A)
2 xP
GW7
COV (H)
3 xP
GW8
CHE (A)
2 xP
GW9
CRY (H)
3 xP
GW10
LEE (A)
2 xP
Gray usually starts and faces a average run: MUN (A), COV (H), CHE (A), CRY (H), LEE (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 2 | NEW (H) | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 3 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 0.01 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Gray's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.11 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 77 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 25%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Gray is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £4.9 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 1.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs10
Captain rating16/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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