FULLeno
Bernd Leno
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
18
3.6 per game
Form
4.3
last 30 days
Owned
3.4%
xG / xA
0.00 / 0.00
season totals
ICT
12.8
450 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
IPS (A)
4 xP
GW7
HUL (H)
4 xP
GW8
COV (A)
4 xP
GW9
AVL (A)
3 xP
GW10
NEW (H)
4 xP
Leno starts almost every week and faces a kind run: IPS (A), HUL (H), COV (A), AVL (A), NEW (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 2 | SUN (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 |
| 3 | CRY (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 4 | LIV (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9 |
| 5 | MUN (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Leno's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.00 expected goals and 0.01 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.4 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy92%
Confidence92%
Buy — Leno is one of the better GKP options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 18 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
- Excellent fixture run — average difficulty 2.4 across the next 5.
- Steady returns at 4.3 points per game in recent weeks.
- Nailed on: averaging 90 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs11
Next 5 GWs18
Captain rating34/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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