BREPinnock
Ethan Pinnock
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
14
3.5 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.01 / 0.06
season totals
ICT
12.3
318 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
TOT (H)
3 xP
GW2
LEE (A)
3 xP
GW3
SUN (H)
3 xP
GW4
BOU (A)
3 xP
GW5
CHE (H)
3 xP
Pinnock starts almost every week and faces a average run: TOT (H), LEE (A), SUN (H), BOU (A), CHE (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Pinnock's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.00 expected goals and 0.02 expected assists per 90, 80 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 25%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Pinnock is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 14 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 80 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs9
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating27/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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