EVEArmstrong
Harrison Armstrong
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
16
3.2 per game
Form
2.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.4%
xG / xA
0.21 / 0.49
season totals
ICT
14.7
446 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
HUL (A)
3 xP
GW7
CHE (H)
2 xP
GW8
ARS (A)
1 xP
GW9
NEW (A)
2 xP
GW10
COV (H)
3 xP
Armstrong starts almost every week and faces a average run: HUL (A), CHE (H), ARS (A), NEW (A), COV (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CRY (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 8 |
| 2 | BOU (A) | 86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 2 |
| 3 | MUN (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 0.03 | 1 |
| 4 | TOT (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 3 |
| 5 | IPS (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0.37 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Armstrong's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.09 expected goals and 0.12 expected assists per 90, 89 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — Armstrong is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £5.0 for the projected return.
- Nailed on: averaging 89 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating30/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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