CRYLerma
Jefferson Lerma Solís
Price
£4.8
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
1
0.5 per game
Form
0.3
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.26 / 0.00
season totals
ICT
3.0
51 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
NFO (H)
1 xP
GW7
BHA (A)
1 xP
GW8
NEW (H)
1 xP
GW9
TOT (A)
1 xP
GW10
LIV (H)
1 xP
Lerma is a rotation risk and faces a average run: NFO (H), BHA (A), NEW (H), TOT (A), LIV (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | EVE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 2 | MCI (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 3 | FUL (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | IPS (H) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 5 | LEE (A) | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Lerma's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.16 expected goals and 0.12 expected assists per 90, 26 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.4 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell78%
Confidence78%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Lerma.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £4.8.
- Cold streak: 0.3 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs3
Next 5 GWs4
Captain rating4/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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