AVLMcGinn

John McGinn

ASTON VILLA
MID
£5.4· 2.2% owned
Price
£5.4
0.0 this GW
Total pts
17
3.4 per game
Form
4.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.2%
xG / xA
0.77 / 0.24
season totals
ICT
14.8
434 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BRE (H)
3 xP
GW7
NEW (A)
3 xP
GW8
MCI (H)
2 xP
GW9
FUL (H)
3 xP
GW10
MUN (A)
2 xP

McGinn starts almost every week and faces a average run: BRE (H), NEW (A), MCI (H), FUL (H), MUN (A).

Last 5 matches
GWOppMinGABnsxGxAPts
1BHA (A)810000.040.011
2ARS (H)900000.050.051
3HUL (A)900000.680.033
4NFO (H)900110.000.116
5TOT (A)830100.000.046
Why this projection

The model works bottom-up from McGinn's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.15 expected goals and 0.10 expected assists per 90, 87 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 40%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.

Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.

Buy71%
Confidence71%

Buy — McGinn is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

  • Fair value at £5.4 for the projected return.
  • Steady returns at 4.0 points per game in recent weeks.
  • Nailed on: averaging 87 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating35/100

Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.