BREAjer
Kristoffer Ajer
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
21
4.2 per game
Form
3.3
last 30 days
Owned
3.9%
xG / xA
0.13 / 0.08
season totals
ICT
18.8
450 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
AVL (A)
3 xP
GW7
LIV (H)
3 xP
GW8
HUL (A)
3 xP
GW9
NFO (H)
3 xP
GW10
BHA (A)
2 xP
Ajer starts almost every week and faces a average run: AVL (A), LIV (H), HUL (A), NFO (H), BHA (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.02 | 8 |
| 2 | LEE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 3 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.05 | 7 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Ajer's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.05 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 40%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy71%
Confidence71%
Buy — Ajer is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 15 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
- Nailed on: averaging 90 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs9
Next 5 GWs15
Captain rating27/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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