BHADunk
Lewis Dunk
Latest news: Neck injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
22
5.5 per game
Form
5.7
last 30 days
Owned
1.5%
xG / xA
0.03 / 0.09
season totals
ICT
14.3
360 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
SUN (A)
2 xP
GW7
CRY (H)
3 xP
GW8
LIV (A)
2 xP
GW9
MCI (A)
1 xP
GW10
BRE (H)
3 xP
Dunk starts almost every week and faces a average run: SUN (A), CRY (H), LIV (A), MCI (A), BRE (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 6 |
| 2 | CHE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | -1 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 5 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 12 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Dunk's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.05 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 50%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.4 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Dunk is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £4.5 for the projected return.
- Steady returns at 5.7 points per game in recent weeks.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs7
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating16/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
Other BRIGHTON players
Compare Dunk with similar DEFs