TOTBergvall
Lucas Bergvall
Price
£5.3
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
3
1.0 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.06 / 0.27
season totals
ICT
2.9
78 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
MUN (A)
1 xP
GW7
COV (H)
2 xP
GW8
CHE (A)
1 xP
GW9
CRY (H)
2 xP
GW10
LEE (A)
1 xP
Bergvall is a rotation risk and faces a average run: MUN (A), COV (H), CHE (A), CRY (H), LEE (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BRE (A) | 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 2 | NEW (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 3 | NFO (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | EVE (H) | 27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 1 |
| 5 | AVL (H) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Bergvall's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.13 expected goals and 0.17 expected assists per 90, 26 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell78%
Confidence78%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Bergvall.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.3.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs4
Next 5 GWs6
Captain rating4/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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