BHAO'Riley
Matt O'Riley
Price
£5.4
0.0 this GW
Total pts
2
1.0 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.28 / 0.01
season totals
ICT
3.8
10 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
SUN (A)
1 xP
GW7
CRY (H)
1 xP
GW8
LIV (A)
1 xP
GW9
MCI (A)
1 xP
GW10
BRE (H)
1 xP
O'Riley is a rotation risk and faces a average run: SUN (A), CRY (H), LIV (A), MCI (A), BRE (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AVL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 2 | CHE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 3 | LEE (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | COV (A) | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 5 | ARS (H) | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from O'Riley's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.20 expected goals and 0.15 expected assists per 90, 5 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.4 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell78%
Confidence78%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping O'Riley.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.4.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs3
Next 5 GWs4
Captain rating1/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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