NFOMurillo
Murillo Costa dos Santos
Latest news: Muscle injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£5.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
83
3.3 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.2%
xG / xA
0.73 / 0.47
season totals
ICT
74.0
2130 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
LEE (H)
3 xP
GW2
LIV (A)
2 xP
GW3
TOT (H)
2 xP
GW4
AVL (A)
2 xP
GW5
COV (H)
3 xP
Murillo starts almost every week and faces a average run: LEE (H), LIV (A), TOT (H), AVL (A), COV (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Murillo's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.03 expected goals and 0.02 expected assists per 90, 85 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 24%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Sell71%
Confidence71%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Murillo.
- Fair value at £5.5 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs7
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating18/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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