NFOMurillo
Murillo Costa dos Santos
Price
£5.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
23
4.6 per game
Form
6.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.1%
xG / xA
0.42 / 0.37
season totals
ICT
21.4
449 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
CRY (A)
3 xP
GW7
ARS (H)
3 xP
GW8
IPS (A)
4 xP
GW9
BRE (A)
3 xP
GW10
MCI (H)
3 xP
Murillo starts almost every week and faces a average run: CRY (A), ARS (H), IPS (A), BRE (A), MCI (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LEE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 4 |
| 2 | LIV (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 3 | TOT (H) | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.17 | 0.00 | 8 |
| 4 | AVL (A) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 6 |
| 5 | COV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 4 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Murillo's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.08 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 20%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy85%
Confidence85%
Buy — Murillo is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 17 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.5.
- In form: 6.0 per game recently against a season average of 4.6.
- Nailed on: averaging 90 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs11
Next 5 GWs17
Captain rating32/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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