MCIO'Reilly
Nico O'Reilly
Price
£6.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
160
4.7 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
23.5%
xG / xA
6.12 / 2.67
season totals
ICT
164.1
2643 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
BOU (H)
5 xP
GW2
CRY (A)
4 xP
GW3
COV (H)
5 xP
GW4
MUN (A)
4 xP
GW5
SUN (H)
5 xP
O'Reilly starts almost every week and faces a average run: BOU (H), CRY (A), COV (H), MUN (A), SUN (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from O'Reilly's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.21 expected goals and 0.09 expected assists per 90, 78 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 41%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — O'Reilly is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 22 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £6.5.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 78 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW5
Next 3 GWs14
Next 5 GWs22
Captain rating42/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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