MCIO'Reilly
Nico O'Reilly
Price
£6.3
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
6
1.5 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
10.9%
xG / xA
0.87 / 0.43
season totals
ICT
9.0
163 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
LIV (A)
2 xP
GW7
IPS (H)
3 xP
GW8
AVL (A)
2 xP
GW9
BHA (H)
2 xP
GW10
NFO (A)
2 xP
O'Reilly is a rotation risk and faces a average run: LIV (A), IPS (H), AVL (A), BHA (H), NFO (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | BOU (H) | 62 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.41 | 2 |
| 2 | CRY (A) | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 3 | COV (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | MUN (A) | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 5 | SUN (H) | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 0.00 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from O'Reilly's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.19 expected goals and 0.15 expected assists per 90, 41 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell64%
Confidence64%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping O'Reilly.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs11
Captain rating8/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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