HULMcBurnie
Oli McBurnie
Price
£5.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
13
2.6 per game
Form
2.3
last 30 days
Owned
1.9%
xG / xA
1.23 / 0.13
season totals
ICT
23.0
441 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
EVE (H)
3 xP
GW7
FUL (A)
3 xP
GW8
BRE (H)
3 xP
GW9
IPS (H)
3 xP
GW10
ARS (A)
2 xP
McBurnie starts almost every week and faces a average run: EVE (H), FUL (A), BRE (H), IPS (H), ARS (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUN (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.16 | 0.01 | 5 |
| 2 | COV (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 3 | AVL (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.38 | 0.05 | 2 |
| 4 | CHE (A) | 81 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.04 | 4 |
| 5 | NEW (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.36 | 0.02 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from McBurnie's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.27 expected goals and 0.07 expected assists per 90, 88 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy71%
Confidence71%
Buy — McBurnie is one of the better FWD options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 14 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.5.
- Nailed on: averaging 88 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs9
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating36/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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