BOURayan
Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
Price
£6.3
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
10
2.0 per game
Form
2.0
last 30 days
Owned
1.6%
xG / xA
0.87 / 0.43
season totals
ICT
18.0
434 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
CHE (A)
2 xP
GW7
SUN (H)
3 xP
GW8
MUN (A)
2 xP
GW9
LEE (H)
3 xP
GW10
IPS (A)
3 xP
Rayan starts almost every week and faces a average run: CHE (A), SUN (H), MUN (A), LEE (H), IPS (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 2 |
| 2 | EVE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.40 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 87 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.35 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Rayan's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.18 expected goals and 0.13 expected assists per 90, 87 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — Rayan is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £6.3 for the projected return.
- Nailed on: averaging 87 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating28/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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