IPSLukić
Saša Lukić
Price
£4.9
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
11
2.2 per game
Form
1.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.02 / 0.41
season totals
ICT
15.8
400 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
FUL (H)
3 xP
GW7
MCI (A)
1 xP
GW8
NFO (H)
2 xP
GW9
HUL (A)
2 xP
GW10
BOU (H)
2 xP
Lukić starts almost every week and faces a average run: FUL (H), MCI (A), NFO (H), HUL (A), BOU (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SUN (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 5 |
| 2 | MUN (A) | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 3 | LIV (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2 |
| 4 | CRY (A) | 76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 1 |
| 5 | EVE (A) | 72 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Lukić's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.07 expected goals and 0.11 expected assists per 90, 80 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Lukić is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £4.9 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 1.7 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 80 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs6
Next 5 GWs10
Captain rating30/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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