Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 4 points for Smith and 36 for Ajayi, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Smith vs Ajayi

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 32 projected points.

Smith

Bournemouth · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell71%

MCI (A)EVE (H)NEW (A)BRE (H)LIV (H)

Ajayi

Hull City · DEF · £4.0

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

MUN (H)COV (A)AVL (H)CHE (A)NEW (A)

Stat by stat

£4.5Price£4.0

1Total points14

1.0Form14.0

1.0Points / game14.0

0.1%Owned1.2%

90Minutes63

0Goals1

0Assists0

0.00xG0.52

0.00xA0.00

0.0ICT0.0

3.6Avg FDR (5)3.2

4Projected pts36

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (36 vs 4), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Smith.

Hold — Ajayi is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More DEF comparisons

Smith vs De Cuyper Smith vs Mendy Smith vs Kayode Smith vs White Smith vs Bijol Smith vs Justin