BOUSmith
Adam Smith
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
4
0.8 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.1%
xG / xA
0.01 / 0.09
season totals
ICT
9.1
434 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
CHE (A)
1 xP
GW7
SUN (H)
2 xP
GW8
MUN (A)
1 xP
GW9
LEE (H)
2 xP
GW10
IPS (A)
2 xP
Smith starts almost every week and faces a average run: CHE (A), SUN (H), MUN (A), LEE (H), IPS (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MCI (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 2 | EVE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 3 | NEW (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0 |
| 4 | BRE (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 |
| 5 | LIV (H) | 74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Smith's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.03 expected goals and 0.05 expected assists per 90, 87 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Smith is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £4.5 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 87 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs5
Next 5 GWs9
Captain rating13/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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