Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 26 points for Saka and 23 for Groß, so Saka is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Saka vs Groß

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Saka by 3 projected points.

Saka

ARSENAL · MID · £9.6

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A)

Groß

BRIGHTON · MID · £6.1

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

CRY (H)LIV (A)MCI (A)BRE (H)HUL (A)

Stat by stat

£9.6Price£6.1

34Total points53

1.3Form6.7

5.7Points / game8.8

17.0%Owned44.1%

506Minutes540

3Goals3

0Assists5

3.63xG2.02

1.04xA1.05

58.4ICT58.1

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

26Projected pts23

The verdict

Saka comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (26 vs 23), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and a stronger underlying profile.

Hold — Saka is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Buy — Groß is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More MID comparisons

Saka vs Cherki Saka vs Schade Saka vs Rogers Saka vs Belloumi Saka vs Palmer Saka vs Semenyo