ARSSaka
Bukayo Saka
Price
£9.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
32
6.4 per game
Form
5.8
last 30 days
Owned
13.7%
xG / xA
3.22 / 0.98
season totals
ICT
52.1
416 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
LEE (H)
6 xP
GW7
NFO (A)
5 xP
GW8
EVE (H)
6 xP
GW9
LIV (A)
5 xP
GW10
HUL (H)
7 xP
Saka starts almost every week and faces a average run: LEE (H), NFO (A), EVE (H), LIV (A), HUL (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.64 | 0.08 | 9 |
| 2 | AVL (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.63 | 0.04 | 11 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 0.23 | 2 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.38 | 0.08 | 8 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.55 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Saka's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.48 expected goals and 0.24 expected assists per 90, 83 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy78%
Confidence78%
Buy — Saka is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 29 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £9.5.
- Steady returns at 5.8 points per game in recent weeks.
- Nailed on: averaging 83 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW6
Next 3 GWs17
Next 5 GWs29
Captain rating73/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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