ARSRice
Declan Rice
Latest news: Unspecified injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£7.4
0.0 this GW
Total pts
20
4.0 per game
Form
4.2
last 30 days
Owned
11.6%
xG / xA
0.12 / 0.69
season totals
ICT
23.4
411 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
LEE (H)
3 xP
GW7
NFO (A)
2 xP
GW8
EVE (H)
3 xP
GW9
LIV (A)
2 xP
GW10
HUL (H)
3 xP
Rice starts almost every week and faces a average run: LEE (H), NFO (A), EVE (H), LIV (A), HUL (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 3 |
| 2 | AVL (A) | 84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.10 | 5 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 5 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 80 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 6 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.06 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Rice's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.12 expected goals and 0.18 expected assists per 90, 82 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Rice is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Steady returns at 4.2 points per game in recent weeks.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs13
Captain rating25/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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