ARSCalafiori
Riccardo Calafiori
Price
£5.8
0.0 this GW
Total pts
29
5.8 per game
Form
5.0
last 30 days
Owned
50.5%
xG / xA
0.67 / 0.62
season totals
ICT
19.1
416 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
LEE (H)
5 xP
GW7
NFO (A)
4 xP
GW8
EVE (H)
5 xP
GW9
LIV (A)
4 xP
GW10
HUL (H)
5 xP
Calafiori starts almost every week and faces a average run: LEE (H), NFO (A), EVE (H), LIV (A), HUL (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 80 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 9 |
| 2 | AVL (A) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.11 | 0.46 | 11 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 66 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.39 | 0.03 | 2 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 0.01 | 6 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Calafiori's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.11 expected goals and 0.12 expected assists per 90, 83 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy78%
Confidence78%
Buy — Calafiori is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 22 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £5.8.
- Steady returns at 5.0 points per game in recent weeks.
- Nailed on: averaging 83 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW5
Next 3 GWs13
Next 5 GWs22
Captain rating43/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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