ARSHavertz
Kai Havertz
Latest news: Hamstring injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£7.6
0.0 this GW
Total pts
19
3.8 per game
Form
3.2
last 30 days
Owned
8.3%
xG / xA
1.67 / 0.37
season totals
ICT
32.6
437 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
LEE (H)
3 xP
GW7
NFO (A)
3 xP
GW8
EVE (H)
3 xP
GW9
LIV (A)
3 xP
GW10
HUL (H)
4 xP
Havertz starts almost every week and faces a average run: LEE (H), NFO (A), EVE (H), LIV (A), HUL (H).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | COV (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 0.03 | 6 |
| 2 | AVL (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 2 |
| 3 | CHE (H) | 77 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.27 | 0.27 | 8 |
| 4 | SUN (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 1 |
| 5 | BHA (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.78 | 0.02 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Havertz's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.38 expected goals and 0.12 expected assists per 90, 87 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 60%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Havertz is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £7.6 for the projected return.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs9
Next 5 GWs15
Captain rating28/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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