Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 3 points for Spence and 17 for Ajayi, so Ajayi is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Spence vs Ajayi

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Ajayi by 14 projected points.

Spence

SPURS · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell92%

MUN (A)COV (H)CHE (A)CRY (H)LEE (A)

Ajayi

HULL CITY · DEF · £4.2

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

EVE (H)FUL (A)BRE (H)IPS (H)ARS (A)

Stat by stat

£4.5Price£4.2

0Total points27

0.0Form2.3

0.0Points / game5.4

0.2%Owned14.0%

0Minutes423

0Goals1

0Assists0

0.00xG0.66

0.00xA0.01

0.0ICT14.1

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

3Projected pts17

The verdict

Ajayi comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (17 vs 3), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.2) and better current form.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Spence.

Buy — Ajayi is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More DEF comparisons

Spence vs Tarkowski Spence vs Bogle Spence vs De Cuyper Spence vs Gvardiol Spence vs Vuskovic Spence vs Hall