TOTSpence
Djed Spence
Price
£4.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
78
2.6 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
10.2%
xG / xA
0.90 / 1.77
season totals
ICT
70.5
2049 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
BRE (A)
3 xP
GW2
NEW (H)
3 xP
GW3
NFO (A)
3 xP
GW4
EVE (H)
3 xP
GW5
AVL (H)
3 xP
Spence starts almost every week and faces a average run: BRE (A), NEW (H), NFO (A), EVE (H), AVL (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Spence's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.04 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 68 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 30%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — Spence is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Strong value: 14 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £4.5.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 68 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating22/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.