Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 8 points for Simms and 10 for Nketiah, so Nketiah is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Simms vs Nketiah

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Nketiah by 2 projected points.

Simms

COVENTRY CITY · FWD · £4.9

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

NEW (H)TOT (A)FUL (H)SUN (H)EVE (A)

Nketiah

CRYSTAL PALACE · FWD · £5.5

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

NFO (H)BHA (A)NEW (H)TOT (A)LIV (H)

Stat by stat

£4.9Price£5.5

10Total points9

2.3Form1.0

2.5Points / game1.8

0.6%Owned0.5%

116Minutes182

1Goals0

0Assists1

0.38xG1.10

0.01xA0.60

6.8ICT13.0

2.8Avg FDR (5)3.4

8Projected pts10

The verdict

Nketiah comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (10 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and a stronger underlying profile.

Hold — Simms is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Nketiah.

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