COVSimms
Ellis Simms
Price
£4.9
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
4
1.3 per game
Form
0.7
last 30 days
Owned
0.6%
xG / xA
0.30 / 0.01
season totals
ICT
6.8
104 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
NEW (H)
2 xP
GW7
TOT (A)
2 xP
GW8
FUL (H)
2 xP
GW9
SUN (H)
2 xP
GW10
EVE (A)
2 xP
Simms is a rotation risk and faces a average run: NEW (H), TOT (A), FUL (H), SUN (H), EVE (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ARS (A) | 69 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 2 | HUL (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 3 | MCI (A) | 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 0.00 | 1 |
| 4 | BHA (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 5 | NFO (A) | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Simms's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.26 expected goals and 0.08 expected assists per 90, 35 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 2.8 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Simms is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Favourable fixtures ahead (average difficulty 2.8).
- Cold streak: 0.7 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW2
Next 3 GWs5
Next 5 GWs8
Captain rating7/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
Other COVENTRY CITY players