Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 36 points for Haaland and 20 for Thiago, so Haaland is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Haaland vs Thiago

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Haaland by 17 projected points.

Haaland

MAN CITY · FWD · £15.6

projected points / 5 GW

Buy71%

LIV (A)IPS (H)AVL (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)

Thiago

BRENTFORD · FWD · £7.8

projected points / 5 GW

Hold64%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Stat by stat

£15.6Price£7.8

39Total points10

8.0Form2.7

7.8Points / game2.0

73.8%Owned9.1%

450Minutes442

5Goals1

0Assists0

4.42xG3.13

0.53xA0.16

46.5ICT23.6

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

36Projected pts20

The verdict

Haaland comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (36 vs 20), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Buy — Haaland is one of the better FWD options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Hold — Thiago is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

More FWD comparisons

Haaland vs João Pedro Haaland vs Isak Haaland vs Kostoulas Haaland vs Emersonn Haaland vs Brobbey Haaland vs Calvert-Lewin