BREThiago
Igor Thiago Nascimento Rodrigues
Price
£7.8
0.0 this GW
Total pts
10
2.0 per game
Form
2.7
last 30 days
Owned
9.1%
xG / xA
3.13 / 0.16
season totals
ICT
23.6
442 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
AVL (A)
4 xP
GW7
LIV (H)
4 xP
GW8
HUL (A)
4 xP
GW9
NFO (H)
4 xP
GW10
BHA (A)
3 xP
Thiago starts almost every week and faces a average run: AVL (A), LIV (H), HUL (A), NFO (H), BHA (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 82 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.00 | 0.08 | 0 |
| 2 | LEE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.80 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.50 | 0.01 | 2 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 1 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.72 | 0.03 | 5 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Thiago's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.53 expected goals and 0.10 expected assists per 90, 88 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 40%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold64%
Confidence64%
Hold — Thiago is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £7.8 for the projected return.
- Nailed on: averaging 88 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs12
Next 5 GWs20
Captain rating46/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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