Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 6 points for Carvalho and 23 for Groß, so Groß is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Carvalho vs Groß

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Groß by 18 projected points.

Carvalho

BRENTFORD · MID · £5.0

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Groß

BRIGHTON · MID · £5.8

projected points / 5 GW

Buy85%

SUN (A)CRY (H)LIV (A)MCI (A)BRE (H)

Stat by stat

£5.0Price£5.8

6Total points47

2.0Form10.7

6.0Points / game9.4

0.0%Owned28.8%

3Minutes450

1Goals3

0Assists4

0.43xG1.77

0.00xA0.86

6.7ICT50.8

3.2Avg FDR (5)3.4

6Projected pts23

The verdict

Groß comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (23 vs 6), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and a stronger underlying profile.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Carvalho.

Buy — Groß is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.

More MID comparisons

Carvalho vs Schade Carvalho vs Cherki Carvalho vs Semenyo Carvalho vs Saka Carvalho vs Gakpo Carvalho vs Tavernier