BRECarvalho
Fábio Freitas Gouveia Carvalho
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
6
6.0 per game
Form
2.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.0%
xG / xA
0.43 / 0.00
season totals
ICT
6.7
3 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
AVL (A)
1 xP
GW7
LIV (H)
1 xP
GW8
HUL (A)
1 xP
GW9
NFO (H)
1 xP
GW10
BHA (A)
1 xP
Carvalho is a rotation risk and faces a average run: AVL (A), LIV (H), HUL (A), NFO (H), BHA (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TOT (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 2 | LEE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 3 | SUN (H) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 4 | BOU (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
| 5 | CHE (H) | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 0.00 | 6 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Carvalho's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.22 expected goals and 0.13 expected assists per 90, 3 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.2 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Sell64%
Confidence64%
Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Carvalho.
- Weak points-per-million: the projection does not justify £5.0.
Projected points
Next 1 GW1
Next 3 GWs3
Next 5 GWs6
Captain rating1/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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