Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 21 points for Gabriel and 15 for Ajer, so Gabriel is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Gabriel vs Ajer

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Gabriel by 6 projected points.

Gabriel

ARSENAL · DEF · £8.0

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

LEE (H)NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)

Ajer

BRENTFORD · DEF · £4.5

projected points / 5 GW

Buy78%

AVL (A)LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)

Stat by stat

£8.0Price£4.5

25Total points21

4.0Form4.0

5.0Points / game4.2

22.7%Owned3.9%

450Minutes450

0Goals0

0Assists0

0.51xG0.13

0.20xA0.08

20.0ICT18.8

3.0Avg FDR (5)3.2

21Projected pts15

The verdict

Gabriel comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (21 vs 15), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.0) and better current form.

Buy — Gabriel is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

Buy — Ajer is one of the better DEF options for the next 5 gameweeks.

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