Georginio or Welbeck?

Over the next five gameweeks our model projects 11 points for Georginio and 8 for Welbeck, so Georginio is the pick.

What does this comparison account for?

Price, ownership, form, expected goals and assists per 90, minutes reliability, and the difficulty of each player's next five fixtures.

Georginio vs Welbeck

Head-to-head over the next 5 gameweeks. Our model favours Georginio by 3 projected points.

Georginio

BRIGHTON · FWD · £5.3

projected points / 5 GW

Hold57%

SUN (A)CRY (H)LIV (A)MCI (A)BRE (H)

Welbeck

CHELSEA · FWD · £5.9

projected points / 5 GW

Sell64%

BOU (H)EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)

Stat by stat

£5.3Price£5.9

6Total points4

0.3Form1.3

3.0Points / game1.3

0.5%Owned1.0%

104Minutes85

0Goals0

1Assists0

0.17xG0.00

0.45xA0.14

5.1ICT6.1

3.4Avg FDR (5)3.0

11Projected pts8

The verdict

Georginio comes out ahead on the five-gameweek projection (11 vs 8), largely because of the fixture run (average difficulty 3.4) and a stronger underlying profile.

Hold — Georginio is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.

Sell — the projection, fixtures or minutes do not support keeping Welbeck.

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