BHAWelbeck
Danny Welbeck
Price
£6.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
126
3.4 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
2.9%
xG / xA
12.36 / 1.40
season totals
ICT
168.2
2249 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
AVL (H)
3 xP
GW2
CHE (A)
2 xP
GW3
LEE (H)
3 xP
GW4
COV (A)
3 xP
GW5
ARS (H)
3 xP
Welbeck usually starts and faces a average run: AVL (H), CHE (A), LEE (H), COV (A), ARS (H).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Welbeck's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.49 expected goals and 0.06 expected assists per 90, 61 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 27%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold57%
Confidence57%
Hold — Welbeck is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £6.0 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs9
Next 5 GWs14
Captain rating28/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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