CHERogers
Morgan Rogers
Price
£7.7
0.0 this GW
Total pts
29
5.8 per game
Form
5.3
last 30 days
Owned
40.5%
xG / xA
1.72 / 1.23
season totals
ICT
43.9
437 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BOU (H)
4 xP
GW7
EVE (A)
4 xP
GW8
TOT (H)
5 xP
GW9
MUN (H)
4 xP
GW10
SUN (A)
4 xP
Rogers starts almost every week and faces a average run: BOU (H), EVE (A), TOT (H), MUN (H), SUN (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 81 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.96 | 0.10 | 8 |
| 2 | BHA (H) | 90 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 1.01 | 5 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 86 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 6 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 90 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 0.02 | 8 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.33 | 0.07 | 2 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Rogers's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.28 expected goals and 0.23 expected assists per 90, 87 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Buy78%
Confidence78%
Buy — Rogers is one of the better MID options for the next 5 gameweeks.
- Strong value: 21 projected points over the next 5 gameweeks at £7.7.
- Steady returns at 5.3 points per game in recent weeks.
- Nailed on: averaging 87 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs13
Next 5 GWs21
Captain rating53/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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