CHERogers
Morgan Rogers
Price
£7.5
0.0 this GW
Total pts
169
4.6 per game
Form
0.0
last 30 days
Owned
32.5%
xG / xA
6.84 / 4.32
season totals
ICT
232.0
3280 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW1
FUL (A)
3 xP
GW2
BHA (H)
4 xP
GW3
ARS (A)
3 xP
GW4
HUL (H)
4 xP
GW5
BRE (A)
3 xP
Rogers starts almost every week and faces a average run: FUL (A), BHA (H), ARS (A), HUL (H), BRE (A).
Last 5 matches
No match history yet this season.
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Rogers's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.19 expected goals and 0.12 expected assists per 90, 89 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 24%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Rogers is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £7.5 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 0.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 89 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs10
Next 5 GWs17
Captain rating39/100
Captain rating combines the GW1 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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