CHELavia
Roméo Lavia
Price
£5.0
0.0 this GW
Total pts
11
2.8 per game
Form
1.0
last 30 days
Owned
0.2%
xG / xA
0.75 / 0.11
season totals
ICT
16.1
258 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BOU (H)
3 xP
GW7
EVE (A)
2 xP
GW8
TOT (H)
3 xP
GW9
MUN (H)
2 xP
GW10
SUN (A)
2 xP
Lavia starts almost every week and faces a average run: BOU (H), EVE (A), TOT (H), MUN (H), SUN (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 0.03 | 1 |
| 2 | BHA (H) | 67 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.54 | 0.00 | 7 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 2 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from Lavia's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.18 expected goals and 0.10 expected assists per 90, 65 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: he is fully fit, so the raw projection is scaled by 100%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — Lavia is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £5.0 for the projected return.
- Cold streak: 1.0 points per game recently.
- Nailed on: averaging 65 minutes per appearance.
Projected points
Next 1 GW3
Next 3 GWs8
Next 5 GWs12
Captain rating28/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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