CHEJoão Pedro
João Pedro Junqueira de Jesus
Latest news: Knee injury - 75% chance of playing
Price
£7.7
-0.1 this GW
Total pts
33
8.2 per game
Form
4.3
last 30 days
Owned
65.2%
xG / xA
2.17 / 0.19
season totals
ICT
37.0
360 mins played
Next 5 fixtures
GW6
BOU (H)
4 xP
GW7
EVE (A)
4 xP
GW8
TOT (H)
5 xP
GW9
MUN (H)
4 xP
GW10
SUN (A)
4 xP
João Pedro starts almost every week and faces a average run: BOU (H), EVE (A), TOT (H), MUN (H), SUN (A).
Last 5 matches
| GW | Opp | Min | G | A | Bns | xG | xA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FUL (A) | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.63 | 0.06 | 11 |
| 2 | BHA (H) | 90 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.23 | 0.04 | 9 |
| 3 | ARS (A) | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0.05 | 1 |
| 4 | HUL (H) | 90 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 12 |
| 5 | BRE (A) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 |
Why this projection
The model works bottom-up from João Pedro's underlying rates rather than raw points: 0.47 expected goals and 0.11 expected assists per 90, 90 minutes per appearance, and a clean-sheet rate of 0%. Those rates are then adjusted for each opponent's fixture difficulty (currently averaging 3.0 over the next 5) and blended with recent form.
Availability is factored in directly: status is "d", so the raw projection is scaled by 75%.
Hold50%
Confidence50%
Hold — João Pedro is fine to keep, but there is no urgent case to bring him in.
- Fair value at £7.7 for the projected return.
- Steady returns at 4.3 points per game in recent weeks.
- Injury doubt: 75% chance of playing.
Projected points
Next 1 GW4
Next 3 GWs12
Next 5 GWs20
Captain rating36/100
Captain rating combines the GW5 projection with minutes certainty and position ceiling.
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